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What this means. A wallet put $83.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$83.3k
BUY No @ 96.7¢ · 86,173 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet niskahq took No (buy) for $83.3k at an average 96.7¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $83.3k+1
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−2898American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.7¢
- Implied odds
- 96.7%
- Size
- $83.3k
- Placed
- Mar 17, 12:46 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- niskahq
- Tx
- 0x7e98ceb9…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+3.3 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |