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What this means. A wallet put $204.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$204.3k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 205,328 shares in 15 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite15 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)9.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet locuspm took No (buy) for $204.3k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $204.3k+2
Near-certain price-2
15 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $204.3k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 14:33 EDT
- Market close
- Nov 23, 21:43 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- locuspm
- Tx
- 0x7dcde094…
This wallet's graded record
0/5-4.4 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k 5.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $112.9k 6.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 3.1× usual |
excluded |