0x1c1e…bfe7

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Current positions

Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.

Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$235Yes · avg 0.4¢ → 2.8¢ · $275 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates stay above 2.5% in 2026?+$61Yes · avg 64¢ → 97.1¢ · $178 Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?+$118Yes · avg 0.4¢ → 1.5¢ · $163 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?+$10Yes · avg 60¢ → 96.2¢ · $27 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?−$14Yes · avg 38¢ → 10¢ · $5

Price-adjusted edge

—

Called / graded

0/0

Expected from price

0.0

Flagged volume

$190.2k

Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

+$172.5k

Last 30 days −$25 · $15.47M volume · 29,088 trades · since Mar 12, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L · recent 500 closed

+$594.8k

Open P&L · 48 positions

−$835

Closed-position win rate

100%

500 closed

Wallet age · markets

591d

2121 markets traded

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
US government shutdown Saturday?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢	$29.9k	100%	264d ago	excluded
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?	LOW SELL No @ 98.9¢	$14.8k	1%	281d ago	excluded
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?	LOW SELL No @ 98.2¢	$10.9k	2%	288d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$49.9k	100%	294d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	LOW SELL No @ 99.4¢	$39.8k	1%	296d ago	excluded
Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$25.0k	100%	334d ago	excluded
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$20.0k	100%	353d ago	excluded

US government shutdown Saturday?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.7¢$29.9k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 264d ago

New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$14.8k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 281d ago

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?excluded

SELL No @ 98.2¢$10.9k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 288d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$49.9k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 294d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

SELL No @ 99.4¢$39.8k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 296d ago

Will the New York Giants win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$25.0k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 334d ago

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$20.0k

LOW 0x1c1e…bfe7 · 353d ago

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