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What this means. A wallet put $17.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$17.6k
SELL Yes @ 97.8¢ · 18,035 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x54a5…ee3d took Yes (sell) for $17.6k at an average 97.8¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $17.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 97.8¢
- Implied odds
- 2.2%
- Size
- $17.6k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 19:16 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x54a5…ee3d
- Tx
- 0x7d20c81e…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-28.8 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsYes price · entry 97.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |