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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 57% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?excluded
$10.0k
BUY No @ 57¢ · 17,503 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet Mind.The.Gap took No (buy) for $10.0k at an average 57¢. At that price the market implied a 57% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 57¢ means
57%chance the market gave
−134American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
57¢
Implied odds
57.3%
As American odds
−134 no vig
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Jul 11, 17:47 EDT
Market close
Jul 11, 17:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Mind.The.Gap
Tx
0x7d1cd2db…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+18.5 pts
expected 0.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +43 pts
No price · entry 57¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 57¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 57¢
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.2k0% anon.1980.123104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $19.9k100% 0x2c33…0563104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?MED SELL No @ 89¢ $89.2k
2.4× usual
11% ygggg1104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?MED BUY Yes @ 17¢ $12.1k17% swisstony PROVEN104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW BUY No @ 79¢ $22.1k79% GRINGOMATE104d agoexcluded
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?LOW SELL Yes @ 19¢ $15.3k81% PlayBlind-com104d agoexcluded