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What this means. A wallet put $19.7k on not No, at a price that gave it a 20% chance. It lost. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.7k
SELL No @ 80¢ · 24,664 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0xcaf1…9ad1 took No (sell) for $19.7k at an average 80¢. At that price the market implied a 20% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 80¢
- Implied odds
- 20.0%
- Size
- $19.7k
- Placed
- Apr 19, 15:42 EDT
- Market close
- May 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xcaf1…9ad1
- Tx
- 0x7cda80c7…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $112.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $22.5k | excluded |