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What this means. A wallet put $12.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.3k
BUY No @ 98¢ · 12,583 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoritePolitics
What happened
Wallet spendingmoney took No (buy) for $12.3k at an average 98¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 98¢
- Implied odds
- 98.0%
- Size
- $12.3k
- Placed
- Oct 04, 18:17 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 04, 23:40 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- spendingmoney
- Tx
- 0x7c59f74e…
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 98¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.1¢ | $31.6k | excluded |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | MED BUY No @ 94.6¢ | $70.5k 3.3× usual |
called |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 94.4¢ | $18.5k | missed |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | MED BUY No @ 90¢ | $38.4k 2.2× usual |
called |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | MED BUY Yes @ 70¢ | $17.5k | missed |