← Wallets
+$3,794Yes · avg 31¢ → 36¢ · $26.0k−$3,383Yes · avg 8.2¢ → 6.8¢ · $16.5k−$621Yes · avg 14¢ → 12¢ · $5,079+$711Yes · avg 2.2¢ → 2.6¢ · $4,734−$63Yes · avg 32¢ → 32¢ · $4,350−$492Yes · avg 29¢ → 25¢ · $2,940+$184Yes · avg 15¢ → 16¢ · $2,916+$12No · avg 11¢ → 12¢ · $111
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -5.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-5.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$18.5k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±23.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$37.5k
Last 30 days +$45.2k · $1.57M volume · 456 trades · since Apr 24, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$45.4k
Open P&L · 18 positions
−$6,662
Closed-position win rate
44%
9 closed
Wallet age · markets
184d
27 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -5.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 94.4¢ | $18.5k | missed |
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