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What this means. A wallet put $26.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 45% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$26.3k
SELL No @ 55¢ · 47,927 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took No (sell) for $26.3k at an average 55¢. At that price the market implied a 45% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $26.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 55¢
- Implied odds
- 45.2%
- Size
- $26.3k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 04:53 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0x78ed5f27…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +55 ptsNo price · entry 55¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |