← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $19.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 18% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.2k
SELL Yes @ 82¢ · 23,390 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet zb8 took Yes (sell) for $19.2k at an average 82¢. At that price the market implied a 18% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 82¢
- Implied odds
- 17.8%
- Size
- $19.2k
- Placed
- Aug 05, 21:26 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- zb8
- Tx
- 0x77fccf46…
This wallet's graded record
1/5-14.2 pts
expected 1.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $14.2k | excluded |