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What this means. A wallet put $23.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-8.7 pts over 21 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?missed
$23.0k
BUY Yes @ 60¢ · 38,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Economy

What happened

Wallet mr.ozi took Yes (buy) for $23.0k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $23.0k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−153American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
60¢
Implied odds
60.5%
Size
$23.0k
Placed
Aug 11, 20:51 EDT
Market close
Sep 15, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
mr.ozi
Tx
0x751e0e6e…
This wallet's graded record
11/21-8.7 pts
expected 12.8 from price
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