← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $298.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$298.1k
SELL Yes @ 98.9¢ · 301,386 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $250kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)6.2× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet steeplejack took Yes (sell) for $298.1k at an average 98.9¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $298.1k+3
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.9¢
- Implied odds
- 1.1%
- Size
- $298.1k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 19:08 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 20:28 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- steeplejack
- Tx
- 0x73465f54…
This wallet's graded record
1/4-32.5 pts
expected 2.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -1 ptsYes price · entry 98.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k 2.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $870.2k 34.2× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.13M 5.2× usual |
excluded |