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+$147.2kNo · avg 50¢ → 79¢ · $397.2k−$147.2kYes · avg 50¢ → 21¢ · $102.8k+$337No · avg 92¢ → 98.5¢ · $5,136
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.2 wins, so it did -8.5 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Price-adjusted edge
-8.5 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.2
Flagged volume
$1.41M
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±22.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$382.5k
Last 30 days +$1,536 · $6.21M volume · 2,161 trades · since Mar 01, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$421.6k
Open P&L · 8 positions
−$39.0k
Closed-position win rate
88%
32 closed
Wallet age · markets
237d
36 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Economy | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -21.0 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 1.0 | +4.0 pts |
History
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x0af037…