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What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 15% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
SELL Yes @ 85¢ · 13,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet Bertapotamous took Yes (sell) for $11.1k at an average 85¢. At that price the market implied a 15% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 85¢
- Implied odds
- 15.0%
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Aug 06, 11:43 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 19:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Bertapotamous
- Tx
- 0x7004f178…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+21.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ | $10.2k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.6¢ | $26.9k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98.5¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 98¢ | $33.5k | excluded |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 97¢ | $14.2k | excluded |