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What this means. A wallet put $14.6k on not No, at a price that gave it a 19% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.6k
SELL No @ 81¢ · 18,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet hollyber took No (sell) for $14.6k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 19% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 19.0%
- Size
- $14.6k
- Placed
- Apr 07, 06:35 EDT
- Market close
- May 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- hollyber
- Tx
- 0x6f3bce5f…
This wallet's graded record
2/6-16.8 pts
expected 3.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $112.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $22.5k | excluded |