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What this means. A wallet put $23.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.0k
BUY No @ 97.5¢ · 23,582 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 1610desktop took No (buy) for $23.0k at an average 97.5¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.0k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−3954American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.5¢
- Implied odds
- 97.5%
- Size
- $23.0k
- Placed
- Jan 22, 10:13 EST
- Market close
- Jan 24, 02:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 1610desktop
- Tx
- 0x6d7f7e53…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+6.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +2 ptsNo price · entry 97.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |