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What this means. A wallet put $40.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?excluded
$40.0k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 40,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther

What happened

Wallet Debosnys took No (buy) for $40.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $40.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$40.0k
Placed
Jan 24, 00:42 EST
Market close
Jan 24, 02:55 EST
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Debosnys
Tx
0x9898d08c…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
No price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $40.0k WHALE $40.0K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $21.1k100% FlyingPlaty273d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $59.9k100% okcoolstorybro273d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ $11.2k0% 0x8ea7…a881273d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 99¢ $21.6k1% 0xa18d…f38c273d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $30.1k100% IlIIllIIIllIIl273d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?LOW SELL No @ 98.6¢ $37.4k
2.3× usual
1% coinlaundry273d agoexcluded