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What this means. A wallet put $10.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 92% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.3k
BUY No @ 91.8¢ · 11,244 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x8ea7…a881 took No (buy) for $10.3k at an average 91.8¢. At that price the market implied a 92% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 92¢ means
92%chance the market gave
−1116American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 91.8¢
- Implied odds
- 91.8%
- Size
- $10.3k
- Placed
- Jan 18, 17:54 EST
- Market close
- Jan 24, 02:55 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8ea7…a881
- Tx
- 0x6bf7eadb…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+44.9 pts
expected 0.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +8 ptsNo price · entry 91.8¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $59.9k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99¢ | $21.6k | excluded |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $30.1k | excluded |