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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 94% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?called
$50.0k
BUY No @ 94¢ · 53,191 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet jwp9999 took No (buy) for $50.0k at an average 94¢. At that price the market implied a 94% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $50.0k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 94¢ means
94%chance the market gave
−1567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
94¢
Implied odds
94.0%
Size
$50.0k
Placed
May 03, 23:15 EDT
Market close
May 14, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
jwp9999
Tx
0x67f38122…
This wallet's graded record
9/9+6.1 pts
expected 8.4 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +6 pts
No price · entry 94¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 94¢ · $50.0k WHALE $50.0K @ 94¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k100% elmcap2158d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.2k
2.1× usual
0% Gleaming-Pear158d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $26.4k100% Gleaming-Pear159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.8k0% 0xd165…f2b8159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.8k
2.1× usual
0% MisTKy PROVEN159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.9k0% Dafu0715159d agoexcluded