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What this means. A wallet put $67.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?excluded
$67.7k
SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ · 69,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy

What happened

Wallet tourists took Yes (sell) for $67.7k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $67.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
98.2¢
Implied odds
1.8%
Size
$67.7k
Placed
Jan 21, 14:34 EST
Market close
Jan 27, 19:00 EST
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
tourists
Tx
0x63c8ff87…
This wallet's graded record
13/14+13.0 pts
expected 11.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -2 pts
Yes price · entry 98.2¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 98.2¢ · $67.7k WHALE $67.7K @ 98.2¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $55.0k
2.8× usual
0% tianjiyuyunzhilu269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% scottilicious PROVEN269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $139.9k
4.0× usual
0% pako269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k0% Treadmilled269d agoexcluded
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% toytrucks269d agoexcluded