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What this means. A wallet put $67.7k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 2% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$67.7k
SELL Yes @ 98.2¢ · 69,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betEconomy
What happened
Wallet tourists took Yes (sell) for $67.7k at an average 98.2¢. At that price the market implied a 2% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $67.7k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 98.2¢
- Implied odds
- 1.8%
- Size
- $67.7k
- Placed
- Jan 21, 14:34 EST
- Market close
- Jan 27, 19:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tourists
- Tx
- 0x63c8ff87…
This wallet's graded record
13/14+13.0 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -2 ptsYes price · entry 98.2¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $55.0k 2.8× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded | |
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $139.9k 4.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |