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What this means. A wallet put $18.5k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.5k
BUY Yes @ 96¢ · 19,312 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet allen111 took Yes (buy) for $18.5k at an average 96¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2400American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96¢
- Implied odds
- 96.0%
- Size
- $18.5k
- Placed
- May 06, 10:53 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- allen111
- Tx
- 0x605d8e8e…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-29.7 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $27.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $13.0k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $24.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $38.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $61.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $33.0k | excluded |