← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $20.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.2k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 20,241 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideOther
What happened
Wallet su281 took No (sell) for $20.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.2k
- Placed
- Jan 17, 20:17 EST
- Market close
- Jan 17, 23:44 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- su281
- Tx
- 0x5fdc5fe6…
This wallet's graded record
4/7-2.8 pts
expected 4.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $10.6k | excluded |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $25.0k | missed |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $32.6k | called |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 14¢ | $30.0k | missed |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 91¢ | $10.7k | called |
| Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $20.9k | called |