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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 0.2 wins, so it did -10.7 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-10.7 pts
Called / graded
0/2
Expected from price
0.2
Flagged volume
$125.4k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±21.6 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$16.8k
Last 30 days −$0 · $1.22M volume · 21 trades · since Jan 12, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
+$79.2k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$62.1k
Closed-position win rate
57%
7 closed
Wallet age · markets
285d
12 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Other | 2 | 0 | 0.2 | -10.7 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 26¢ | $34.3k | called |
 Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW SELL Broncos @ 31¢ | $15.6k | called |
| Patriots vs. Broncos | LOW BUY Broncos @ 32¢ | $11.5k | missed |
 Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 6.4¢ | $14.0k | missed |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 19¢ | $25.0k | missed |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 15¢ | $25.0k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8d7630…