← Wallets
+$1,912Yes · avg 91.9¢ → 97.2¢ · $34.9k−$927No · avg 82¢ → 80¢ · $31.6k+$950No · avg 92.2¢ → 97.2¢ · $18.5k−$273No · avg 88¢ → 87¢ · $16.8k−$93No · avg 88¢ → 88¢ · $16.3k+$125No · avg 63¢ → 64¢ · $15.9k+$557Yes · avg 71¢ → 74¢ · $15.7k−$478Under · avg 52¢ → 50¢ · $14.8k · 0 proven with, 1 against
What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 1 of 2. The prices it paid implied about 1.0 wins, so it did +0.6 pts better than the market expected. That's only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Current positions
Live from Polymarket (largest 8 open). P&L is unrealised, at today's price.
Open bets: who else is there
Other rated wallets holding the same side, or the other side, of this wallet's open bets.
None of its 1 open bets has a proven or losing wallet on either side yet.
Price-adjusted edge
+0.6 pts
Called / graded
1/2
Expected from price
1.0
Flagged volume
$105.1k
Sample size2 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±26.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$359.4k
Last 30 days −$297.6k · $162.17M volume · 680,339 trades · since Oct 01, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$9.97M
Open P&L · 500 positions
−$6.46M
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
753d
12980 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Politics | 1 | 0 | 0.2 | -15.9 pts |
| Other | 1 | 1 | 0.8 | +17.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 82¢ | $20.5k | pending |
 Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $10.7k | excluded |
 Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.3¢ | $39.7k | excluded |
 Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $20.9k | called |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | LOW SELL Yes @ 84¢ | $13.3k | missed |
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