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What this means. A wallet put $46.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +12.8 pts vs the price over 34 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$46.3k
BUY No @ 99.2¢ · 46,683 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Proven wallet2× this wallet's usual betPolitics
What happened
Wallet GoriIIa took No (buy) for $46.3k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $46.3k+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−13138American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.2¢
- Implied odds
- 99.2%
- Size
- $46.3k
- Placed
- Feb 01, 06:52 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- GoriIIa
- Tx
- 0x5ea5e9de…
This wallet's graded record
32/34+12.8 pts
expected 27.7 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $87.1k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |