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What this means. A wallet put $21.7k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a proven record: +15.0 pts vs the price over 46 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$21.7k
BUY No @ 99.5¢ · 21,854 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletOther
What happened
Wallet ScottyNooo took No (buy) for $21.7k at an average 99.5¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $21.7k+0
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−19900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.5¢
- Implied odds
- 99.5%
- Size
- $21.7k
- Placed
- May 29, 19:07 EDT
- Market close
- May 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ScottyNooo
- Tx
- 0x5b6a06f4…
This wallet's graded record
45/46+15.0 pts
expected 38.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +1 ptsNo price · entry 99.5¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $76.9k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $46.3k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $18.8k | excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $112.6k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $22.5k | excluded |