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Spread: Thunder (-8.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 8 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)excluded$11.8k
BUY Thunder @ 47¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet Nooserac took Thunder (buy) for $11.8k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved Thunder. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 21:37 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 21:30 EDT
- Result
- Thunder
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Nooserac
- Tx
- 0x567e0ec9…
This wallet's graded record
5/8-7.6 pts
expected 5.6 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsThunder price · entry 47¢ · resolved Thunder
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 51¢ | $88.5k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $26.6k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 47¢ | $21.1k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $13.5k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 49¢ | $14.7k | called |
| Spread: Thunder (-8.5) | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 52¢ | $14.2k | missed |