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What this means. A wallet put $12.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 40% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.4k
BUY Yes @ 40¢ · 31,286 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 768543265 took Yes (buy) for $12.4k at an average 40¢. At that price the market implied a 40% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.4k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 40¢ means
40%chance the market gave
+153American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 40¢
- Implied odds
- 39.6%
- Size
- $12.4k
- Placed
- Jan 18, 07:38 EST
- Market close
- Feb 08, 07:00 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 768543265
- Tx
- 0x50e9ea2e…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+20.7 pts
expected 3.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 19¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 32¢ | $32.5k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $88.9k 2.2× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 68¢ | $14.4k | excluded |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | MED BUY No @ 33¢ | $31.8k | excluded |