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What this means. A wallet put $66.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 78% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$66.4k
BUY No @ 78¢ · 85,316 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)3.7× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet wan123 took No (buy) for $66.4k at an average 78¢. At that price the market implied a 78% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $66.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 78¢ means
78%chance the market gave
−351American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 78¢
- Implied odds
- 77.8%
- Size
- $66.4k
- Placed
- Mar 20, 11:24 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x4d03d8ee…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +22 ptsNo price · entry 78¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |