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Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 24% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded$10.0k
BUY No @ 24¢ · 41,828 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet HBAFlover98 took No (buy) for $10.0k at an average 24¢. At that price the market implied a 24% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 24¢ means
24%chance the market gave
+317American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 24¢
- Implied odds
- 24.0%
- As American odds
- +317 no vig
- Size
- $10.0k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 17:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- HBAFlover98
- Tx
- 0x4a537a98…
This wallet's graded record
2/5-14.6 pts
expected 2.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -24 ptsNo price · entry 24¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $151.3k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $129.6k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $109.5k 5.8× usual |
excluded |