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Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $151.3k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded$151.3k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 151,402 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)6.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Yes (sell) for $151.3k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $151.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $151.3k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 19:53 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0x1dec0dbd…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $129.6k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $109.5k 5.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | MED BUY Yes @ 94.7¢ | $89.3k 3.4× usual |
excluded |