0xfdf6…00a1

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me

What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -53.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →

Price-adjusted edge

-53.0 pts

Called / graded

0/1

Expected from price

0.5

Flagged volume

$342.3k

Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill

We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.9 pts std. error.

Lifetime P&L on Polymarket

−$112.4k

Last 30 days +$0 · $2.20M volume · 550 trades · since Apr 07, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API

Realized P&L

−$111.7k

Open P&L · 0 positions

+$0

Closed-position win rate

49%

195 closed

Wallet age · markets

—

189 markets traded

By category

Category	Graded	Called	Expected	Edge
Sports	1	0	0.5	-53.0 pts

History

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	When	Result
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$53.3k 2.1× usual	0%	127d ago	excluded
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 75¢	$40.0k	75%	127d ago	called
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?	LOW BUY Yes @ 53¢	$20.0k	53%	128d ago	missed
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$73.1k 2.9× usual	0%	128d ago	excluded
Will England win on 2026-06-17?	LOW BUY Yes @ 59¢	$40.0k	59%	128d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢	$15.6k	0%	129d ago	excluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?	LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢	$10.0k	64%	129d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	LOW SELL Yes @ 25¢	$15.0k	75%	132d ago	excluded
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?	LOW BUY Yes @ 47¢	$25.0k	47%	132d ago	excluded
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3	LOW SELL Monte @ 99.9¢	$11.2k	0%	134d ago	excluded
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs	LOW SELL LYON @ 99¢	$39.1k	1%	152d ago	excluded

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$53.3k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 127d ago

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?called

BUY Yes @ 75¢$40.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 127d ago

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?missed

BUY Yes @ 53¢$20.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 128d ago

Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$73.1k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 128d ago

Will England win on 2026-06-17?excluded

BUY Yes @ 59¢$40.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 128d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

SELL Yes @ 99.9¢$15.6k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 129d ago

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded

BUY Yes @ 64¢$10.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 129d ago

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded

SELL Yes @ 25¢$15.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 132d ago

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?excluded

BUY Yes @ 47¢$25.0k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 132d ago

Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3excluded

SELL Monte @ 99.9¢$11.2k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 134d ago

LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsexcluded

SELL LYON @ 99¢$39.1k

LOW 0xfdf6…00a1 · 152d ago

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