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What this means. A wallet put $10.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 64% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?excluded
$10.0k
BUY Yes @ 64¢ · 15,625 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0xfdf6…00a1 took Yes (buy) for $10.0k at an average 64¢. At that price the market implied a 64% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.0k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 64¢ means
64%chance the market gave
−178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
64¢
Implied odds
64.0%
As American odds
−178 no vig
Size
$10.0k
Placed
Jun 16, 20:55 EDT
Market close
Jun 16, 21:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0xfdf6…00a1
Tx
0x3a4286c0…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-53.0 pts
expected 0.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +36 pts
Yes price · entry 64¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 64¢ · $10.0k WHALE $10.0K @ 64¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $124.0k
6.4× usual
0% suntori LOSING129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $16.2k0% Papi-Robb129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.6k0% 0xfdf6…00a1129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $56.9k
2.0× usual
0% 0x9912…5d4a129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $12.1k0% FishfulThinking129d agoexcluded
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $1.38M
6.0× usual
0% Latina129d agoexcluded