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What this means. A wallet put $124.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has a losing record: -18.2 pts vs the price over 26 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$124.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 124,128 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog side5 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)6.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet suntori took Yes (sell) for $124.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $124.0k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $124.0k
- Placed
- Jun 16, 23:21 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 16, 21:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- suntori
- Tx
- 0xdf2e1054…
This wallet's graded record
10/26-18.2 pts
expected 14.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.6k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $56.9k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.1k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.38M 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.0k | excluded |