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Spread: Eagles (-3.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $107.9k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$107.9k
BUY Bears @ 52¢ · 207,495 shares
Size ≥ $100kSports
What happened
Wallet Diabolical-Prize took Bears (buy) for $107.9k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $107.9k+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $107.9k
- Placed
- Sep 28, 16:57 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 28, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Diabolical-Prize
- Tx
- 0x46ec97b9…
This wallet's graded record
8/11+30.1 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsBears price · entry 52¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW BUY Eagles @ 44¢ | $10.6k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $23.6k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $169.3k 3.7× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $38.4k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $144.0k 6.0× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $10.1k | missed |