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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.5 wins, so it did -48.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-48.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.5
Flagged volume
$61.1k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±50.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$333.5k
Last 30 days −$10.1k · $13.65M volume · 10,391 trades · since Apr 25, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$1.12M
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$12.9k
Closed-position win rate
54%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
182d
496 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | -48.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | LOW BUY Eagles @ 48¢ | $10.1k | missed |
 Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 14¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 54¢ | $10.9k | excluded |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 53¢ | $11.2k | excluded |
| 76ers vs. Celtics | LOW BUY 76ers @ 59¢ | $14.9k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x37d366…