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What this means. A wallet put $12.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 75% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.9k
BUY Yes @ 75¢ · 17,151 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet luisarraez took Yes (buy) for $12.9k at an average 75¢. At that price the market implied a 75% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 75¢ means
75%chance the market gave
−300American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 75¢
- Implied odds
- 75.0%
- As American odds
- −300 no vig
- Size
- $12.9k
- Placed
- Jun 18, 12:12 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 18, 18:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- luisarraez
- Tx
- 0x469932af…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+25.0 pts
expected 0.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +25 ptsYes price · entry 75¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.7k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $151.3k 6.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $129.6k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $53.3k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $109.5k 5.8× usual |
excluded |