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What this means. A wallet put $27.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$27.3k
BUY Yes @ 90¢ · 30,337 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Economy
What happened
Wallet ethBELIVER took Yes (buy) for $27.3k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. Pending: the market hasn't settled yet. Once it does, we grade this flag called (the whale's side won) or missed (it lost). More
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $27.3k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- Size
- $27.3k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 08:31 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- not settled yet
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ethBELIVER
- Tx
- 0x45075d42…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+15.3 pts
expected 1.5 from price
Share this receipt
Price since this bet
Since entry +4.5 ptsYes price · entry 90¢ · now 94.5¢
Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 95¢ | $47.5k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 94¢ | $210.9k 4.2× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | MED BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $150.7k 6.8× usual |
pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 93¢ | $13.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | LOW BUY Yes @ 92¢ | $20.4k | pending |
Same event on Kalshi
Kalshi is a separate US exchange for the same kind of yes/no prices. These are large trades or sudden odds moves we flagged there on this same event, which can be on a different answer than this bet. Kalshi doesn't show who traded.
| YES Fed maintains rate | $57.4k | 93¢ | 1d ago |
| YES Fed maintains rate | $27.0k | 90¢ | 2d ago |
| NO Hike 25bps | $18.9k | 89¢ | 2d ago |
| YES Fed maintains rate | $44.5k | 89¢ | 2d ago |