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What this means. A wallet put $27.6k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +19.3 pts vs the price over 30 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?called
$27.6k
BUY Yes @ 68¢ · 40,903 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hProven walletSports

What happened

Wallet purplegatto took Yes (buy) for $27.6k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

MED
Size $27.6k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−208American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
68¢
Implied odds
67.6%
As American odds
−208 no vig
Size
$27.6k
Placed
Jun 20, 19:59 EDT
Market close
Jun 21, 00:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
purplegatto
Tx
0x418e2f3d…
This wallet's graded record
27/30+19.3 pts
expected 21.2 from price
Share this receipt

Entry to resolution

Grade +32 pts
Yes price · entry 68¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 68¢ · $27.6k WHALE $27.6K @ 68¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.2k0% omnibus-00c8ef125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.6k0% hhhhhhhh067125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $21.4k0% tttrtrtrtrtr125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $15.4k0% Lionel-Musk125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $83.0k
5.1× usual
0% tony912125d agoexcluded
Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $38.2k0% crypto-ericwu125d agoexcluded