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What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on Thunder, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)excluded
$11.8k
BUY Thunder @ 48¢ · 24,650 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet 0x5d1d…afd2 took Thunder (buy) for $11.8k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Suns. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.8k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Thunder wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
48¢
Implied odds
48.0%
As American odds
+108 no vig
Size
$11.8k
Placed
Apr 27, 21:23 EDT
Market close
Apr 27, 21:30 EDT
Result
Suns
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
0x5d1d…afd2
Tx
0x412f1599…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+15.3 pts
expected 1.5 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -48 pts
Thunder price · entry 48¢ · resolved Suns
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 48¢ · $11.8k WHALE $11.8K @ 48¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)MED BUY Thunder @ 48¢ $245.3k48% 0x4924…3782180d agoexcluded
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)LOW BUY Thunder @ 49¢ $13.8k49% pilotguy180d agoexcluded
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ $19.4k48% AV23IUa PROVEN180d agoexcluded
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)LOW BUY Suns @ 52¢ $22.2k52% LaBradfordSmith22180d agoexcluded
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)LOW BUY Suns @ 51¢ $17.8k51% weflyhigh PROVEN180d agoexcluded
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)LOW BUY Suns @ 51¢ $34.7k51% 0x163e…dc5b180d agocalled