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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 2 of 3. The prices it paid implied about 1.5 wins, so it did +15.3 pts better than the market expected. That's only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
+15.3 pts
Called / graded
2/3
Expected from price
1.5
Flagged volume
$356.2k
Sample size3 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±28.9 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$47.2k
Last 30 days −$921 · $25.55M volume · 45,568 trades · since Apr 07, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$3.64M
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
200d
9660 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 3 | 2 | 1.5 | +15.3 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Spurs vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Spurs @ 94¢ | $20.4k | excluded |
 Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Thunder (-6.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 50¢ | $20.0k | called |
 Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11? | LOW BUY Yes @ 64¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $15.1k | missed |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 83¢ | $14.9k | called |
| Spread: Thunder (-11.5) | LOW BUY Thunder @ 48¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 59¢ | $14.6k | excluded |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | LOW BUY Nuggets @ 52¢ | $10.5k | missed |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | LOW BUY Rockets @ 68¢ | $11.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | LOW BUY Trail Blazers @ 52¢ | $14.6k | called |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | LOW BUY Clippers @ 68¢ | $19.3k | excluded |
| Warriors vs. Clippers | MED BUY Warriors @ 34¢ | $35.2k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY 76ers @ 55¢ | $21.5k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Magic @ 51¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Magic vs. 76ers | LOW BUY Magic @ 49¢ | $24.2k | missed |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns | MED BUY Trail Blazers @ 44¢ | $45.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
 Los Angeles Angels vs. New York Yankees | LOW BUY New York Yankees @ 60¢ | $24.4k | excluded |
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