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What this means. A wallet put $19.3k on No, at a price that gave it a 96% chance. It won. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.3k
BUY No @ 96.5¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet 0x4488…e319 took No (buy) for $19.3k at an average 96.5¢. At that price the market implied a 96% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.3k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 96¢ means
96%chance the market gave
−2757American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.5¢
- Implied odds
- 96.5%
- Size
- $19.3k
- Placed
- Mar 17, 12:42 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x4488…e319
- Tx
- 0x3ee4f0b0…
This wallet's graded record
11/12+12.9 pts
expected 9.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.5× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |