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What this means. A wallet put $38.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 97% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+6.5 pts over 23 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$38.4k
BUY No @ 96.9¢ · 39,621 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Proven walletPolitics
What happened
Wallet aff3 took No (buy) for $38.4k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 97% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $38.4k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 97¢ means
97%chance the market gave
−3120American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 96.9%
- Size
- $38.4k
- Placed
- Jan 02, 17:41 EST
- Market close
- Jan 25, 09:00 EST
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- aff3
- Tx
- 0x3a2ce872…
This wallet's graded record
22/23+6.5 pts
expected 20.5 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $35.2k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $87.1k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $22.7k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $18.6k | excluded |
| Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ | $29.8k 2.1× usual |
excluded |