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What this means. A wallet put $14.7k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 21% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$14.7k
BUY Yes @ 21¢ · 70,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Yakira2025 took Yes (buy) for $14.7k at an average 21¢. At that price the market implied a 21% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $14.7k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 21¢ means
21%chance the market gave
+376American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 21¢
- Implied odds
- 21.0%
- Size
- $14.7k
- Placed
- Feb 22, 12:20 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Yakira2025
- Tx
- 0x39c53cd8…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-20.8 pts
expected 0.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +79 ptsYes price · entry 21¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |