← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $13.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 34% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 14 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$13.4k
SELL Yes @ 66¢ · 20,289 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet tourists took Yes (sell) for $13.4k at an average 66¢. At that price the market implied a 34% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 66¢
- Implied odds
- 34.0%
- Size
- $13.4k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 20:44 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 08, 20:28 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tourists
- Tx
- 0x360588f1…
This wallet's graded record
13/14+13.0 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -34 ptsYes price · entry 66¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $39.0k 2.9× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $870.2k 35.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 7.8× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.13M 5.2× usual |
excluded |