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Lions vs. Billsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $15.5k on Lions, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-1.8 pts over 37 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billsexcluded$15.5k
BUY Lions @ 31¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet wan123 took Lions (buy) for $15.5k at an average 31¢. At that price the market implied a 31% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $15.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 31¢ means
31%chance the market gave
+223American odds
$1.00paid per share if Lions wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 31¢
- Implied odds
- 31.0%
- As American odds
- +223 no vig
- Size
- $15.5k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 20:07 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- wan123
- Tx
- 0x300621c5…
This wallet's graded record
12/37-1.8 pts
expected 12.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsLions price · entry 31¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |