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What this means. A wallet put $33.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.2k
SELL No @ 95¢ · 35,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet Bertapotamous took No (sell) for $33.2k at an average 95¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $33.2k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 95¢
- Implied odds
- 5.0%
- Size
- $33.2k
- Placed
- Jul 11, 22:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Bertapotamous
- Tx
- 0x29438d47…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+21.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.6k 2.0× usual |
excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.4k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $13.9k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $34.0k | excluded |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |