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What this means. A wallet put $10.1k on No, at a price that gave it a 87% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.1k
BUY No @ 87¢ · 11,556 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet lirio123 took No (buy) for $10.1k at an average 87¢. At that price the market implied a 87% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 87¢ means
87%chance the market gave
−669American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 87¢
- Implied odds
- 87.0%
- Size
- $10.1k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 09:28 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- lirio123
- Tx
- 0x2816f235…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+13.0 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ | $23.9k | excluded |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ | $11.6k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 94.3¢ | $21.6k | missed |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 86¢ | $11.0k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW BUY No @ 77¢ | $27.6k | called |
| Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | LOW SELL No @ 86¢ | $11.2k | missed |