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What this means. A wallet put $11.2k on not No, at a price that gave it a 14% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?missed
$11.2k
SELL No @ 86¢ · 12,991 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Myway took No (sell) for $11.2k at an average 86¢. At that price the market implied a 14% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $11.2k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
86¢
Implied odds
13.6%
Size
$11.2k
Placed
Jul 15, 00:37 EDT
Market close
Jul 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Myway
Tx
0x1308e002…
This wallet's graded record
1/2+6.3 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 98.5¢ $23.9k98% MissaoComFlavio84d agoexcluded
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 96.9¢ $11.6k3% Seutervoinen87d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW SELL No @ 94.3¢ $21.6k6% Lior-Pa89d agomissed
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 86¢ $11.0k86% madkkee96d agocalled
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 77¢ $27.6k77% coali1096d agocalled
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?LOW BUY No @ 87¢ $10.1k87% lirio123101d agocalled