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What this means. A wallet put $74.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 98% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$74.4k
BUY No @ 97.9¢ · 76,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)3.3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Bertapotamous took No (buy) for $74.4k at an average 97.9¢. At that price the market implied a 98% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $74.4k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 98¢ means
98%chance the market gave
−4583American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 97.9¢
- Implied odds
- 97.9%
- Size
- $74.4k
- Placed
- Mar 31, 00:22 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Bertapotamous
- Tx
- 0x2476f803…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+21.4 pts
expected 3.9 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $24.6k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $16.7k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $25.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.7¢ | $49.9k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ | $12.4k | excluded |